Global Egg Market Disruptions and the Case for Indonesia Supply

The 2024–2025 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) outbreak has been one of the most devastating in modern agricultural history. In the United States alone, more than 170 million birds were culled, with the USDA projecting a 57.6% increase in egg prices. Between September and December 2024, over 650 separate HPAI outbreaks were recorded across Europe, affecting major producing countries including France, the Netherlands, and Poland. The ripple effects were felt across every egg-importing market globally.

For Singapore — a city-state that produces virtually no eggs domestically and relies entirely on imports — these global disruptions are a direct business risk. When major producing regions are hit, competition for remaining global supply intensifies, prices rise across every market, and importers reliant on a narrow set of sources face the greatest exposure.

Indonesia's position in this landscape is notable for several reasons. Southeast Asia has been relatively less affected by the 2024–2025 HPAI wave compared to the Americas and Europe. Indonesia's tropical climate, dispersed production geography, and biosecurity improvements across its major farming regions have contributed to relative stability. While no country is immune to avian flu risk, Indonesia's production base is diversified across thousands of farms spanning Java, Sumatra, and Sulawesi — meaning a localised outbreak would not eliminate national supply capacity.

Indonesia's proximity to Singapore provides an additional resilience advantage. When global shipping routes are disrupted or freight costs spike during supply crises — as they did during the 2024–2025 disruptions — shorter supply chains are inherently more reliable and cost-stable. Indonesia-to-Singapore logistics are measured in days, not weeks, reducing exposure to the shipping delays and cost volatility that affect more distant supply origins.

CapitaFood's focus on Indonesia as a primary source for Singapore reflects this strategic logic. By building deep relationships with farms across multiple Indonesian production regions, we provide Singapore businesses with supply resilience that comes from source diversification within Indonesia — not just diversification across countries. When one region faces pressure, we access supply from others. Combined with competitive pricing and SFA compliance management, Indonesian egg supply through CapitaFood offers Singapore businesses a practical hedge against the kind of global market disruptions that are becoming increasingly common.